Houston beat Mississippi State. Do you think East Carolina, even as bad as Miss St. is, could come within 2 touchdowns of them? No way. Houston is the better team, they basically have to just win the game. Vegas is putting too much emphasis on "home field" advantage due to the beating they took on prime time the last couple of years when the lines were off. Also, Houston is the last win for East Carolina. Houston knows this, and has been reminded about it for days.
Common sense pick....Houston.
Common sense pick....Houston.